THE FOOD IMPORT – INTERNATIONAL TOURISM NEXUS IN CROATIA: AN APPLICATION OF THE ARLD AND NARDL APPROACH AND CAUSALITY

Authors

  • Zdravko Šergo Scientific advisor, Institute of agriculture and tourism, Department of Tourism, K. Hugues 8, Poreč, Croatia http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0875-4777
  • Jasmina Gržinić Juraj Dobrila University of Pula, Faculty of Economics and Tourism "Dr. Mijo Mirković", Croatia http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2371-1406

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5937/ekoPolj2102275S

Keywords:

food import, tourism, ARDL, NARDL, causality, Croatia

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between food import dependency and the international tourist arrivals in Croatia during the period spanning 1969-2018. In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the above hypothesis by detecting the causality between foods imports represented as various food products and international tourism arrivals, that suit as a proxy for tourism consumption. The study method was able to capture symmetries in the relationship between some food import products and tourism, known as autoregressive-distributed lags, but not for all imported food items designed for this study. Since an asymmetric analysis, in such cases, requires the use of nonlinear models, we use nonlinear models and find evidence of asymmetric cointegration. For almost two decades before the global COVID-19 crisis, we conclude, Croatias food imports grew rapidly, and these imports appear to be mainly driven by exports of services linked to pervasive tourism expansion.

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References

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Published

2021-06-24

How to Cite

Šergo, Z., & Gržinić, J. (2021). THE FOOD IMPORT – INTERNATIONAL TOURISM NEXUS IN CROATIA: AN APPLICATION OF THE ARLD AND NARDL APPROACH AND CAUSALITY. Ekonomika Poljoprivrede, 68(2), 275–290. https://doi.org/10.5937/ekoPolj2102275S

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Section

Original scientific papers